2000-03-08 Moody & Latin Debt

Daily Brady Bond Trading Commentary

Wednesday March 8, 2000 

The follow through from Moody's upgrade of Mexico continued across the Latin debt universe Wednesday.

In Mexico, Bradys tightened further, while the global issues lagged. While some index players will stay away from the Mexican Bradys and overall institutional demand favors the globals, Bradys still stand to outperform on demand from value players and arb desks.

The EM debt market may meet resistance in the near future, however. Next week, it will contend with U.S. inflation figures, which are likely to reflect large jumps in fuel and tobacco prices. The following week brings the FOMC meeting, at which a 25 bps hike is widely expected.

The risk, albeit small at the moment, is that the Fed sees cause to do more at that meeting.

Contributed by

Credit Lyonnais Securities (USA) Inc.


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